Hi, K.!
B. here, experienced doula, and mom. :)
Personally, I've been through what you're experincing right now. I've had one of my children vaginally, and two cesareans. After my first cesarean (done because of breech birth) and during my last pregnancy, I did quite a lot of research on VBAC.
Let me re-assure you that your risk of uterine rupture is LOW. Just HOW low? Let's take a look (from gentlebirth.org):
Your risk of dying in a car accident, over the course of your lifetime, is between 1 in 42 and 1 in 75. This is roughly 4 to 5 times greater than the risk of uterine rupture.
You're about twice as likely to have your car stolen (that's an annual risk) than to experience a uterine rupture.
Your odds of being murdered are 1 in 140 over the course of your lifetime. That's 2 times more likely than the risk of rupture.
The annual risk of having a heart attack is 1 in 160, 2 times more likely than rupture. Your risk of dying from heart disease is roughly 1 in 6, or 55 times greater than your risk of rupture.
If you're a smoker, your risk of dying from lung cancer is 1 and a half times more likely than a VBAC mom rupturing during her labor.
You're about 17 times more likely to contract an STD this year than you are to have a uterine rupture; more likely to contract gonorrhea than to rupture, as well.
You're 13 times more likely to get food poisoning than to rupture.
You're more likely to have twins than a uterine rupture. Odds of twins: 1 in 90. That's about 3 1/2 times the likelihood of rupture.
If you ride horseback, you're 3 times more likely to die in a riding accident than you are to experience a uterine rupture.
If you ride a bike on the street, you are 4 times more likely to die in an accident (annual risk) than you are to suffer a rupture.
Having a serious fire in your home during the next year is twice as likely as experiencing a rupture.
You're ten times as likely to win at roulette as you are to have a uterine rupture.
If you flip a coin, you'll be more likely to get heads (or tails) 8 times in a row than to rupture.
The risk of cord prolapse is 1 in 37 (2.7%), or nearly ten times more likely than that of rupture.
And a final irony (heads up, those of you who want a doc to give his/her opinion on your likelihood of rupture next pregnancy!)...
You're 6 times more likely to have a doctor who is an impostor than you are to suffer a rupture. Two percent of docs are phonies (1 in 50), according to several sources I found.
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Unless there was a major emergency, or you had a complication with your last pregnancy (such as placenta previa, or something equally as monumental), odds are you have a low-transverse incision. This type of incision is the LEAST likely to lead to rupture.
If this was 30 years ago, or if you had gone through a life-or-death delivery emergency, you would have a vertical incision that would basically sentence you to deliver via cesarean for every pregnancy.
Take heart - Uterine rupture occurs in LESS than 1% of every VBAC delivery. The risks that are associated with an elective cesarean are of much greater relevance to your situation right now...I encourage you to inform yourself about those: www.lamaze.org/institute/advancing/docs/elective_cesarean... -
(Also, uterine rupture occurs in women who have never had a cesarean before, a matter of note.)
As to your LOOOONG coming trip to the hospital (whereEVER do you live, Lady? *s*), I would strongly suggest communicating often with your doctor the closer you get to your due date.
Oh yeah...How long was your last labor? Since you only got to 3cm and were not fully effaced during your last labor (even after driving for 2 + hours), it's safe to say that (barring an act of God), your body will be treating this labor as it's first go...It's VERY likely that you will be at the hospital in time, with hours to spare.
Must run --
Take care, and feel free to message me, should you have any other questions!
*B.*
P.S. My last baby was 2 ounces shy of weighing in at 12 lbs. when she was born, which was pretty much why I got the c-section...After 36 hours of slow, slow, sloooooow labor. (Eek! I cringe just thinking about it!) NECESSARY medical intervention is a good thing!!! :)